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Golden Globe Predictions

At this time of year you may be overwhelmed with all the talk of upcoming award ceremonies or you just may not give a damn about the award hoopla.  I can understand both sides.  Nowadays, there are so many award ceremonies that downplay a lot of other happenings in the world.  Art is important, but the awards are simply recognition.  For this reason, the Golden Globes is one of my favorite award ceremonies as it seems to realize its lack of importance and simply has fun with it all.  Even though, the actual ceremony is not until Sunday, January 15th, I’m going to put in my two cents on the winners and losers of this pivotal point in the awards race.

As this is a movie blog I will only predict the major movie categories.  Now, let’s start with the usual first award of the night:

Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role in a Motion Picture: 

Bérénice Bejo for The Artist

Jessica Chastain for The Help

Janet McTeer for Albert Brooks

Octavia Spencer for The Help

Shailene Woodley for The Descendants 

Who should win: Jessica Chastain

Who will win: Octavia Spencer

Black Horse: Shailene Woodley

Now this award is a little tricky to pick.  The Golden Globes loves stars.  Big shining stars!  Past winners in this category include Melissa Leo, Kate Winslet, and Cate Blanchett.  However, none of these of these women were particularly famous in the movie world before these roles, with a possible exception of McTeer.  Since none of these women are major stars, the win will probably go to Octavia Spencer.  This woman has been in the business for a number of years but The Help finally gave her the chance to shine.  Spencer was a scene-stealer in the film, but Chastain had such a surreal year and fully deserves the award for Best Performances in Supporting Roles.

 

Little side note: Don’t be surprised if the ladies of The Help split the vote and the rising star, Woodley, snags the prize.  It happened before with the ladies of Up in the Air and Doubt.

Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role in a Motion Picture:

Viggo Mortensen for A Dangerous Method 

Kenneth Branagh for My Week with Marilyn

Albert Brooks for Drive

Christopher Plummer for Beginners 

Jonah Hill for Moneyball 

Who will/should win: Christopher Plummer

Dark Horse: Albert Brooks

Staying true to the Best Supporting Actor routine, there is one astounding performance that seems to run away with all the awards that year.  Plummer sure does deserves all the awards!  He shines among two marvelous costars and reminds us all why he is one of our most beloved actors.  This guy has the star power and talent to run away with this award.

Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture – Comedy or Musical

Jodie Foster for Carnage 

Charlize Theron for Young Adult 

Kristen Wiig for Bridesmaids 

Michelle Williams for My Week with Marilyn

Kate Winslet for Carnage 

Who should win: Kristen Wiig

Who will win: Michelle Williams

No dark horse

Let me start off by starting that Michelle Williams captures the essence of Marilyn Monroe wonderfully, yet the movie is not a comedy nor a musical.  The performance has no place in this category.  Williams will still take home the prize considering that out of these performances, she has the most Oscar potential.  I feel for Kristen Wiig, who truly deserves this win.  With maybe the exception of Melissa McCarthy, Wiig’s performance is the most hilarious of the year.  Hopefully she’ll get lucky when voters realize that Williams’s performance is not comedic nor musical, and will justly reward Wiig with the prize.

Little side note: Theron you absolutely nailed it!  I am truly sad that your performance is being overlooked.

Best Performance by an Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy

Jean Dujardin for The Artist 

Brendan Gleeson for The Guard 

Joseph Gordon-Levitt for 50/50 

Ryan Gosling for Crazy, Stupid, Love. 

Owen Wilson for Midnight in Paris

Who will/should win: Jean Dujardin

Dark horse: Ryan Gosling

As with the actress musical/comedy race, there is only one performance that is garnering Oscar attention, and this is Dujardin’s.  However, in this race, The Artist is both a musical and comedy, which makes Dujardin a perfect fit in the category.  His only real threat on the radar is Gosling.  The Crazy, Stupid, Love. star had a great year, garnering two Golden Globe nominations, and considering that the Globes love star power, there is a possibility of a surprise victory.

Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama

Glenn Close for Albert Nobbs  

Viola Davis for The Help 

Rooney Mara for The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo

Meryl Streep for The Iron Lady 

Tilda Swinton for We Need to Talk About Kevin 

Who should win: Viola Davis

Who will win: Meryl Streep

Dark horse: Glenn Close

I’m sure that Streep shines, as always, in The Iron Lady, but to award a mediocre film with this esteemed award seems wrong.  While The Help polarized, it is still receiving spots in nearly every Best Picture race.  Davis is just as good as Streep in her role and deserves some long overdue recognition.  The star-driven Albert Nobbs continues to receive less than stunning reviews, but Golden Globe voters may be star dazzled and give the award to Streep or Close for movies that you know they are better than.

Best Performance by an Actor in a Motion Picture – Drama

George Clooney for The Descendants 

Leonardo DiCaprio for J. Edgar 

Michael Fassbender for Shame 

Ryan Gosling for The Ides of March 

Brad Pitt for Moneyball 

Who will win: George Clooney

Who should win/dark horse: Michael Fassbender

Does anyone have more star power than Clooney?  Maybe Pitt, but Clooney is definitely the more popular of the two.  While DiCaprio was once the declared winner of this prize, so-so reviews of J. Edgar have put him at the back of the pack.  Clooney, on the other hand, has blasted through the gates and is many people’s favorite to win Best Actor.  I cannot deny that his performance is deserving of the honor, but his fellow nominee, Michael Fassbender, gives a career-defining performance.  Shame got slammed with the curse of the NC-17 rating, but thankfully Fassbender’s performance has been recognized.  Fassbender may not have the star power of Clooney, but he sure has the acting chops to match.

Best Director – Motion Picture

Woody Allen for Midnight in Paris 

George Clooney for The Ides of March 

Michel Hazanavicius for The Artist 

Alexander Payne for The Descendants 

Martin Scorsese  for Hugo 

Who should win: Michel Hazanavicius

Who will win: Alexander Payne

Dark horse: George Clooney

How Hazanavicius made a silent film and made it work in 2011 is beyond me.  There are career achievements in the instances of Allen and Scorsese, but they had their recognition, and it would be nice to give Hazanavicius, this unknown director, the praise he deserves.  Also, Payne did a great job with The Descendants, yet he gave us a usual side of Payne with no real directorial flare.  Although, as is the custom, the Golden Globes will most likely go with the more high profile film, The Descendants, and give it an array of awards.

Little side note: Don’t forget the Globes’ favorite, Clooney, who could pick up two wins in one night.

Best Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy

The Artist 

Bridesmaids

50/50

Midnight in Paris

My Week with Marilyn 

What should/will win: The Artist 

Dark horse: Bridesmaids 

The Artist is one of the heavy hitters in every Best Picture race, therefore with The Descendants out of the way, it basically has this prize in the bag.  Midnight in Paris continues to end up on many Best Picture lists but no one suspects it to win.  However, Bridesmaids has recently been rumored to have the potential of snagging one of the final Best Picture slots in the Oscar race.  This combined with the fact that it is a favorite of many could result in a surprise victory over The Artist.  It is unlikely, but you never know.

Little side note:  Why My Week with Marilyn is on here is still a mystery.  Plus it took the spot that The Muppets rightly deserved.  C’mon Globes!  I thought you would have learned after The Tourist incident.

Best Motion Picture – Drama

The Descendants 

The Help

Hugo

The Ides of March

Moneyball

War Horse 

Who will/should win: The Descendants 

No dark horse

The Descendants is a Best Motion Picture dream.  It features one of the most high profile actors in the business, a successful contemporary director, and takes a new spin on something old.  All of this makes The Descendants the hands-down victor.  Yes, The Help and War Horse are sure to snag some votes, but they will be unable to take down Payne’s latest creation.  I greatly enjoy all the movies in this category and am glad to say they all deserve to be here.

Little side note:  I would go from glad to thrilled if the Golden Globes decided to include The Tree of Life in this category.

Don’t forget to check out the Golden Globes on Sunday, January 15th.  

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