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At this time of year you may be overwhelmed with all the talk of upcoming award ceremonies or you just may not give a damn about the award hoopla. I can understand both sides. Nowadays, there are so many award ceremonies that downplay a lot of other happenings in the world. Art is important, but the awards are simply recognition. For this reason, the Golden Globes is one of my favorite award ceremonies as it seems to realize its lack of importance and simply has fun with it all. Even though, the actual ceremony is not until Sunday, January 15th, I’m going to put in my two cents on the winners and losers of this pivotal point in the awards race.
As this is a movie blog I will only predict the major movie categories. Now, let’s start with the usual first award of the night:
Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role in a Motion Picture:
Bérénice Bejo for The Artist
Jessica Chastain for The Help
Janet McTeer for Albert Brooks
Octavia Spencer for The Help
Shailene Woodley for The Descendants
Who should win: Jessica Chastain
Who will win: Octavia Spencer
Black Horse: Shailene Woodley
Now this award is a little tricky to pick. The Golden Globes loves stars. Big shining stars! Past winners in this category include Melissa Leo, Kate Winslet, and Cate Blanchett. However, none of these of these women were particularly famous in the movie world before these roles, with a possible exception of McTeer. Since none of these women are major stars, the win will probably go to Octavia Spencer. This woman has been in the business for a number of years but The Help finally gave her the chance to shine. Spencer was a scene-stealer in the film, but Chastain had such a surreal year and fully deserves the award for Best Performances in Supporting Roles.
Little side note: Don’t be surprised if the ladies of The Help split the vote and the rising star, Woodley, snags the prize. It happened before with the ladies of Up in the Air and Doubt.
Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role in a Motion Picture:
Viggo Mortensen for A Dangerous Method
Kenneth Branagh for My Week with Marilyn
Albert Brooks for Drive
Christopher Plummer for Beginners
Jonah Hill for Moneyball
Who will/should win: Christopher Plummer
Dark Horse: Albert Brooks
Staying true to the Best Supporting Actor routine, there is one astounding performance that seems to run away with all the awards that year. Plummer sure does deserves all the awards! He shines among two marvelous costars and reminds us all why he is one of our most beloved actors. This guy has the star power and talent to run away with this award.
Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture – Comedy or Musical
Jodie Foster for Carnage
Charlize Theron for Young Adult
Kristen Wiig for Bridesmaids
Michelle Williams for My Week with Marilyn
Kate Winslet for Carnage
Who should win: Kristen Wiig
Who will win: Michelle Williams
No dark horse
Let me start off by starting that Michelle Williams captures the essence of Marilyn Monroe wonderfully, yet the movie is not a comedy nor a musical. The performance has no place in this category. Williams will still take home the prize considering that out of these performances, she has the most Oscar potential. I feel for Kristen Wiig, who truly deserves this win. With maybe the exception of Melissa McCarthy, Wiig’s performance is the most hilarious of the year. Hopefully she’ll get lucky when voters realize that Williams’s performance is not comedic nor musical, and will justly reward Wiig with the prize.
Little side note: Theron you absolutely nailed it! I am truly sad that your performance is being overlooked.
Best Performance by an Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy
Jean Dujardin for The Artist
Brendan Gleeson for The Guard
Joseph Gordon-Levitt for 50/50
Ryan Gosling for Crazy, Stupid, Love.
Owen Wilson for Midnight in Paris
Who will/should win: Jean Dujardin
Dark horse: Ryan Gosling
As with the actress musical/comedy race, there is only one performance that is garnering Oscar attention, and this is Dujardin’s. However, in this race, The Artist is both a musical and comedy, which makes Dujardin a perfect fit in the category. His only real threat on the radar is Gosling. The Crazy, Stupid, Love. star had a great year, garnering two Golden Globe nominations, and considering that the Globes love star power, there is a possibility of a surprise victory.
Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama
Glenn Close for Albert Nobbs
Viola Davis for The Help
Rooney Mara for The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
Meryl Streep for The Iron Lady
Tilda Swinton for We Need to Talk About Kevin
Who should win: Viola Davis
Who will win: Meryl Streep
Dark horse: Glenn Close
I’m sure that Streep shines, as always, in The Iron Lady, but to award a mediocre film with this esteemed award seems wrong. While The Help polarized, it is still receiving spots in nearly every Best Picture race. Davis is just as good as Streep in her role and deserves some long overdue recognition. The star-driven Albert Nobbs continues to receive less than stunning reviews, but Golden Globe voters may be star dazzled and give the award to Streep or Close for movies that you know they are better than.
Best Performance by an Actor in a Motion Picture – Drama
George Clooney for The Descendants
Leonardo DiCaprio for J. Edgar
Michael Fassbender for Shame
Ryan Gosling for The Ides of March
Brad Pitt for Moneyball
Who will win: George Clooney
Who should win/dark horse: Michael Fassbender
Does anyone have more star power than Clooney? Maybe Pitt, but Clooney is definitely the more popular of the two. While DiCaprio was once the declared winner of this prize, so-so reviews of J. Edgar have put him at the back of the pack. Clooney, on the other hand, has blasted through the gates and is many people’s favorite to win Best Actor. I cannot deny that his performance is deserving of the honor, but his fellow nominee, Michael Fassbender, gives a career-defining performance. Shame got slammed with the curse of the NC-17 rating, but thankfully Fassbender’s performance has been recognized. Fassbender may not have the star power of Clooney, but he sure has the acting chops to match.
Best Director – Motion Picture
Woody Allen for Midnight in Paris
George Clooney for The Ides of March
Michel Hazanavicius for The Artist
Alexander Payne for The Descendants
Martin Scorsese for Hugo
Who should win: Michel Hazanavicius
Who will win: Alexander Payne
Dark horse: George Clooney
How Hazanavicius made a silent film and made it work in 2011 is beyond me. There are career achievements in the instances of Allen and Scorsese, but they had their recognition, and it would be nice to give Hazanavicius, this unknown director, the praise he deserves. Also, Payne did a great job with The Descendants, yet he gave us a usual side of Payne with no real directorial flare. Although, as is the custom, the Golden Globes will most likely go with the more high profile film, The Descendants, and give it an array of awards.
Little side note: Don’t forget the Globes’ favorite, Clooney, who could pick up two wins in one night.
Best Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy
Midnight in Paris
My Week with Marilyn
What should/will win: The Artist
Dark horse: Bridesmaids
The Artist is one of the heavy hitters in every Best Picture race, therefore with The Descendants out of the way, it basically has this prize in the bag. Midnight in Paris continues to end up on many Best Picture lists but no one suspects it to win. However, Bridesmaids has recently been rumored to have the potential of snagging one of the final Best Picture slots in the Oscar race. This combined with the fact that it is a favorite of many could result in a surprise victory over The Artist. It is unlikely, but you never know.
Little side note: Why My Week with Marilyn is on here is still a mystery. Plus it took the spot that The Muppets rightly deserved. C’mon Globes! I thought you would have learned after The Tourist incident.
Best Motion Picture – Drama
The Ides of March
Who will/should win: The Descendants
No dark horse
The Descendants is a Best Motion Picture dream. It features one of the most high profile actors in the business, a successful contemporary director, and takes a new spin on something old. All of this makes The Descendants the hands-down victor. Yes, The Help and War Horse are sure to snag some votes, but they will be unable to take down Payne’s latest creation. I greatly enjoy all the movies in this category and am glad to say they all deserve to be here.
Little side note: I would go from glad to thrilled if the Golden Globes decided to include The Tree of Life in this category.
Don’t forget to check out the Golden Globes on Sunday, January 15th.